Walnut Creek Real Estate Absorption Rates

Real Estate absorption rates are an indication of how long it would take, at the previous month’s pace, for a market to sell off its entire inventory. This value helps us gain a better understanding of the market in which we are dealing:

  • Are we in a buyers or sellers market?
  • How are 3 bedroom homes selling in the Palos Verdes neighborhood versus the Saranap neighborhood?
  • What impact will we have if we price a home at $605k versus $599?
  • If I want the best chance at negotiating a below asking price offer, should I look in Walnut Creek or Pleasant Hill?
  • etc.

Absorption rates can, and should, be calculated in a number of ways depending on your interest. At a very high level, you can look at the national, state and county numbers; however, these won’t help you buy or sell a specific property. When you are dealing at the property level, it is important to look at these numbers across price boundaries, property characteristics and local areas. In the table below, I give you the absorption rates for Walnut Creek across some high level price boundaries. Since December is historically a very slow month, I provide the rate based off of the December sold numbers as well as the 2007 average sold numbers.

  Under $500k $500k - $999k $1M - $1.499k $1.5M - $1.999M Above $2M
December 37 Weeks 28.6 Weeks 39 Weeks 43.3 Weeks 8.6 Weeks
2007 Avg 24.8 Weeks 20.1 Weeks 20.3 Weeks 26 Weeks 16 Weeks

I’ve highlighted the $2M numbers because there really aren’t enough data points in this range to determine a very accurate absorption rate.

If you are buying or selling property, you owe it to yourself to know the absorption rates at a granular level. If you don’t have access to the necessary data to calculate this number yourself, feel free to give me a call and I’d be happy run the calculations.

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Brian Sparr | 925.817.8428 | brian@sparrproperties.com
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